Best Guess: 312-226

I have read every article and studied every poll I can find. As of today, I believe Clinton will win the electoral and the popular votes by relatively comfortable margins.

Above is my current assessment of the all-important Electoral College tally. I think Clinton will win the popular vote by between 2.5 and 3 percent.

Both campaigns and the major media organizations will probably know the likely outcomes by mid-afternoon on Tuesday, due to exit polls. Everyone else will have to wait until the polls close in one of the four major time zones (sorry Hawaii and Alaska.)

The race probably will be called at 5, 6, 7 or 8 pm PT. I'm guessing 7, when certain mountain state polls are closed.

p.s. My electoral prediction for Clinton is 15 points higher than when I started this post, because I am now calling North Carolina for the Dems, based on new polls.

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Birthday Boy

 Oliver is five! Claire drove Peter and me down to San Jose through a heavy rain today. We stopped at Target to get the little guy presents, then proceeded to Sarah's new house.

 Laila and family arrived just before we did, including Betsy.

 Sarah and kids have a new kitten, "Silver Streak," who is six weeks old. She is the smallest kitten any of us has ever seen.

Sophia and all the kids held Silver Streak.

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