Saturday, March 05, 2016

Test Time

Lunch with Julia after she took her first SAT for five hours this morning. One thing that bothers me is that the schools never seem to be able to estimate when the kids will be ready to be picked up, so I waited outside Gateway for almost 1.5 hours. But when she emerged, she seemed satisfied that she had done pretty well on this test that is so hyped up by teachers that kids get very nervous on the days they go to take it -- always weekend days.

She also told me she is teaching 8 middle school girls to climb rocks at Mission Cliffs, as part of her advisory board role at Girl Ventures.

It's cool that we had Caroline Paul, a local writer, on both Forum and Newsroom yesterday. She was the first woman firefighter in San Francisco and is an adventurer on many levels. Her latest book, Gutsy Girls, is about how too many of us parents do not encourage our girls to take risks that we easily encourage our sons to take.

I told Julia about it and will now try to get her a copy of that book.

***

Today is also the day I started preparing all of my tax information for my accountant. Tomorrow my plan is to work on Aidan's and Dylan's taxes.

It is raining here, finally, off and on all day. El Nino is back!

-30-

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Mid-Day Burritos

From Taqueria Cancun with Dylan today, catching up. Talked to Julia, who was working on her essay,  and by phone with Aidan about his classes, car, Zaira, and their cat, Mika.

Otherwise a quiet Sunday, watching more politics coverage and waiting to watch a Michigan basketball game.

Donald Trump is actually the biggest joke in American politics in a long time, maybe all time. I watch his speeches -- they are filled with provocations, baseless claims, and petty personal attacks. He is a sure loser, now I think about it, and will never be president.

Either the Republican Party will run someone against him or he will run as an independent. Either way, Hillary Clinton, assuming she is the Democratic nominee, will be the next president.

So what we are witnessing is the dissolution of the GOP as a serious political party. Don't be deceived by Trump's "big" crowds. Getting people to a rally to witness a spectacle is not the same as winning electoral votes.

Right now I rate the candidates' chances to win the White House in Novemebr as follows:

Clinton      60%
Sanders     20%
Rubio        10%
Cruz            5%
Carson         4%
Trump         1%

That is the Democrats at 80% and the Republicans at 20%.

I also predict a Clinton-Sanders ticket and a Rubio-Cruz ticket. But Super Tuesday primaries loom, after which, if is not staggering, Trump may have too many delegates to be stopped. In that case, it is probably a Trump-Christie ticket.

-30-


Mailing in the Bills

Saturday mornings, for me, are the times I can catch up on errands like paying my bills. It turned out that my landlord was not playing a game with me over the supposedly missing rent check. In fact, neither she nor I were at fault. My January rent check was scanned incorrectly by her bank, resulting in a two-digit deposit as opposed to the four-digit check I sent her.

Meanwhile, I am watching the political coverage as Donald Trump marches on to what may well lead to him to be the next president. This reminds me of Ronald Reagan's rise to power. We can only hope that Trump, like Reagan, is all rhetoric and no action. Reagan did nothing to advance conservatism here in California or in the U.S.

He was instead a liberal in conservative clothing.

Unlike most people I know, I don't fear Trump. He's just another person, like Obama, who should he become president, will find out the limits of power.

But there is one threat he makes -- to remove the First Amendment protections that allows us to be journalists. For that, he will alienate all of us -- not politically, but as those who are the only fair and unbalanced check on power America has.


-30-