Friday, December 24, 2021

Dual Warnings

When the founder of the world’s largest hedge fund and the director of the NNACP Legal Defense Fund issue identical warnings, I tend to take notice.

And that is what has happened this week when both Ray Dalio and Sherrilyn Ifill said that our democracy is at risk.

Over the past few months, other experts have raised similar fears, but most of them are political scientists and historians, who are more easily dismissed by those who wish to dismiss such talk.

Our big problem is that historically when the economic and political circumstances that favor the rise of extremism converge, the danger increases, and that is what all of these experts are noting about our present situation.

“The internal conflict between left and right, rich and poor, Democrats and Republicans, (is) producing a level of conflict in the U.S. that is the highest since 1900,” notes Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates. “‘If the causes people are behind are more important to them than the system, the system is in jeopardy.”

In a wide-ranging interview with Bloomberg News, Dalio also considers global factors like inflation, debt, currency instability and the increasing likelihood of conflict with China.

In a podcast with the Times, Ifill discusses the implications of Kyle Rittenhouse being acquitted of shooting people at a Black Lives Matter event. Rittenhouse went to the event armed and ready to kill, but he was exonerated by a jury on the grounds that he acted in self-defense.

This, of course, just deepens the internal discord in the U.S. over the ingrained racism that is one of the ugliest and intractable of all of our domestic issues. That Rittenhouse is emerging as a hero to right-wing extremists is an ominous sign for the future.

He should be the object of our collective disgust.

Part of me honestly hates to bring up these warnings at Christmas, a time of year many of us seek peace and comfort and joy with our families, but a more significant part of me knows that we ignore these warnings at our grave peril.

And the first test of how serious that peril is will come as soon as next year’s elections.

TODAY’S HEADLINES:

 

Thursday, December 23, 2021

Award

Career Achievement, SPJ. Awards ceremony cancelled due to Covid. Award arrived 21 months later.
 

Thursday's Headlines

(No essay today. Wrapping presents)

TODAY’s HEADLINES:

TODAY’s LYRICS

“Wrong’s What I Do Best”

George Jones

Some men look for diamonds
Some men look for gold
I'm just trying to find myself 
Before I get too old
Different people have their ways 
Of measuring success
Maybe it's not the right way but wrong's what I do best

Songwriters: Dickey Lee / Freddy Weller / Michael Alan Campbell 

Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Xmas '21


 My eight grandchildren!

The Variant That Stole Christmas

 Maybe the key story this week is Dhruv Khullar’s short essay in The New Yorker summarizing what we know and don’t know about Omicron.

This variant appears to be much more transmissible than Delta, which of course was more transmissible than the original variant.

Omicron also may cause more people to get ill but with milder symptoms and fewer deaths. This would be a good thing, presumably, although it’s too early to draw conclusions. It would be ideal if the disease has mutated to the extent that its impacts would be more like the flu — seasonal and largely preventable by shots — but we don’t know that yet.

In fact we don’t know much — which is the point of Khullat’s essay — and that it a bummer given the imminent holiday gatherings we’re looking forward to. Because we aren’t going to know what we are dealing with Omicron until Christmas has passed.

For now the best policy is to get vaccinated — only 60 percent of Americans have done that to date — as well as to get the booster, which only a quarter of adults have done. We still have so many unvaccinated people in the U.S. and overseas that the virus can and will continue generating new variants and therefore dominate our lives as it has over the past two years.

In this context, the ongoing politicization of the vaccines is a pity and contributes to the overall sense of confusion about what we are facing and what we can do about it. That most certainly is something to not celebrate the holiday season.

Rather it is something to regret. How great our collective regret become may not be known until this Christmas is a distant memory. 

***

In better news, 48 Hills is reporting that the judge whose remarks had been taken out of context to smear San Francisco D. A. Chest Boudin in his recall fight, more recently has praised Boudin for his transparency and his ethics.

The reform-minded D.A., who is committed to attacking the root causes of crime and reforming the criminal justice system, has been targeted by right-wing extremists nationally and faces a tough recall election as a result.

Street crime in the city and elsewhere may be up or it may be down — the statistics are confusing, but to hold a D.A. responsible for short-term variations in street crime is absurd. Those trends have more to do with economic conditions, drugs and poverty than long-term initiatives to reduce cash bail, increase restorative justice and reform the overall system.

In any event, the judge’ comments are reprinted in the 48 Hills piece, which is a refreshing update to Boudin’s record.

TODAY’s HEADLINES:

  • High praise for Boudin from judge whose words have been used to attack him (48 Hills

  • Robotic Fish Frighten Aquatic Pests To Death (The Onion)

LYRICS

“I'm Over You”

Keith Whitley

Songwriters: Tim Nichols / Zack Turner

Where there's a cloud, don't mean there's rain
Tears in my eyes, don't mean there's pain
Don't flatter yourself
I'm over you

Things aren't always what they seem
You can't believe everything you read
On my face
I'm over you

Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Welcome to the Metaverse

It’s poised to be the next stop on your online migration, more immersive and multi-dimensional than the linear experiences you’ve had to date.

Your identity is your avatar. Virtual reality tools like glasses and gloves are under development to provide a richer, deeper digital life. 

What the metaverse represents is everyman’s version of the space travel favored by today’s billionaires. The first Japanese billionaire has just returned from his space voyage, having followed Musk and Bezos on their test runs to escape Earth in the age of catastrophic climate change.

Most of us are not and will never be billionaires, nor will we visit outer space, but all of can go to the metaverse. Think of it as a sort of Wally’s World from “National Lampoon Vacation” right at your fingertips. 

Facebook is counting on you doing just that, as it transforms itself into “Meta.” The giant social network is buying up companies that can aid this transition, and also shutting down pages like that of an artist who had been using the term “metaverse” for a decade. (Zuckerberg’s spaceship later apologized and reinstated her page.)

Virtual living has received a huge boost during the pandemic, of course, as we’ve all been more or less locked down and isolated from each other in real life. I couldn’t do what I do, for example — publish daily essays and collated headlines to an audience without the existing web, including good old Facebook, and I’m grateful for that access. 

But soon I’ll apparently be coming to you via my avatar, which I assure you will be younger and handsomer than its namesake.

And it won’t have wispy white hair either.

Then again, each new step as we edge ourselves further into simulated reality and away from the physical world gives me pause. There is still — and always will be — advantages to the actual sights, sounds, smells, tastes and touch of the real world that technology, no matter how advanced, cannot replicate.

At least not for me.

Then again, the metaverse could be the thing that changes my mind, so bring it on!

TODAY’s NEWS:

TODAY’S LYRICS

“Pick Me Up on Your Way Down”

Willie NelsonMerle Haggard

Songwriter: Harlan Howard

You were mine for just a while

Now your putting on the style

And you never once looked back

To your home across the track

You're the gossip of the town

But my heart can still be found

Where you tossed it on the ground

Pick me up on your way down

Pick me up on your way down

When your blue and all alone

When their glamor starts to bore you

Come back where you belong

When you learn these things are true

I'll be waiting here for you

When you tumble to the ground

Pick me up on your way down

They have changed your attitude

Made you haughty and so rude

Your new friends can take the blame

Underneath you're still the same

You may be their pride and joy

But they'll find another toy

When your new love can't be found

Pick me up on your way down

Pick me up on your way down

When your blue and all alone

When their glamor starts to bore you

Come back where you belong

When you learn these things are true

I'll be waiting here for you

When you tumble to the ground

Pick me up on your way down 

Monday, December 20, 2021

Did You Notice?

 Today’s top analytical story comes, fittingly, from The Onion: “Everything Slightly Worse Than Yesterday.” 

As for the particulars, over the past few days it’s become clear that Omicron is going to mess with the hoped-for scenario of putting Covid behind us this winter. It’s just too contagious and too many people remain unvaccinated for any hope of that.

So far, Omicron is exploding mainly in Europe, although New York City appears to be the main entry point in the U.S., even though the first recorded case was in San Francisco.

And if we’ve learned anything during the pandemic, it’s that local and regional surges will soon easily overwhelm our hospital system, overworking doctors and nurses in the process.

As a result, many front-line healthcare workers have been quitting, burned-out and very much casualties of Covid-19, along with the hundreds of millions who have been sickened and millions who have died.

Before it is “over,” i.e., consigned to a seasonal status much like the flu, Covid-19 will probably rank as the most consequential pandemic in history. Historians will argue that point, but we now have more people than ever before on the planet and they are inter-connected in ways previously unimaginable through trade, travel and other results of globalization.

Therefore the level of disruption exceeds all previous pandemic. You could say that this is the first truly global epidemic.

Accordingly, the global economy is going through another volatile stretch as markets and central banks react to Omicron. I’m not sure that economists can pinpoint a single cause for the inflation that has arisen during the pandemic but government stimulus payments certainly have played a role.

Meanwhile, the environmental impacts of Covid are difficult to quantify. With climate change already advancing in the form of rising sea levels, higher temperatures and extreme weather events, Covid has required national and international resources that could otherwise have been devoted to confronting the climate challenge.

If nothing else, we’ve lost valuable time in that battle.

Politically, as I’ve noted previously, the pandemic has intensified the divisions in many countries, accelerating tendencies toward extremism. A group of retired U.S. military generals are the latest to warn that the U.S. remains at risk of an authoritarian turn as soon as 2024, and that is not hyperbole.

Finally, there is the unspeakable tragedy that is Afghanistan.

These are grim times. As those of us who celebrate Christmas prepare to exchange gifts and gather for holiday meals, there is a palpable sense of exhaustion, a deep melancholy hanging over our homes and our families.

As much as we might wish for peace on earth at this season, we do not live in a time when that is possible.

TODAY’S HEADLINES:

  • Report: Everything Slightly Worse Than Yesterday (The Onion)

LYRICS

“Hey, That's No Way to Say Goodbye”

Song by Leonard Cohen

I loved you in the morning, our kisses deep and warm
Your hair upon the pillow like a sleepy golden storm
Yes, many loved before us, I know that we are not new
In city and in forest they smiled like me and you
But now it's come to distances and both of us must try
Your eyes are soft with sorrow
Hey, that's no way to say goodbye

I'm not looking for another as I wander in my time
Walk me to the corner, our steps will always rhyme
You know my love goes with you as your love stays with me
It's just the way it changes, like the shoreline and the sea
But let's not talk of love or chains and things we can't untie
Your eyes are soft with sorrow
Hey, that's no way to say goodbye

I loved you in the morning, our kisses deep and warm
Your hair upon the pillow like a sleepy golden storm
Yes, many loved before us, I know that we are not new
In city and in forest they smiled like me and you
But let's not talk of love or chains and things we can't untie
Your eyes are soft with sorrow
Hey, that's no way to say goodbye

Sunday, December 19, 2021

Sunday's News

 Note: Although I try to write an essay every day, and have been doing so for a long time, increasingly there are days that I simply cannot bring myself to make any comment whatsoever. Today is one such day.

TODAY’S NEWS: