Okay, I know the topic of AI can seem overwhelming so normally I wouldn’t be recommending a 50-page report as a way to lessen that burden. But Plan A from the Berkeley-based AI Futures Project is an exception because at least it adds hope that we can find a way out of this mess.
Here is an excerpt from the plan describing the global attempt to “buy time,” projected for 2030. It is unsparingly realistic:
“The problem with an intelligence explosion is the “explosion” part.
“The default trajectory is reckless and destabilizing. Each country and company is racing their competitors for AI dominance without time to think. Most likely, a ton of people will end up disempowered or killed. Maybe godlike AIs run circles around us and the age of humanity is over. Maybe a CEO or President establishes a permanent dictatorship. Maybe World War Three begins in the chaos, as countries without the best AIs fear losing their leverage.
“Maybe everything is surprisingly smooth and we “only” automate all labor and render everyone unemployable in a radically transformed world. Even aspiring AI-enabled dictators are worried; there’s enough frontrunners that none of them have more than 50% odds of winning the power struggle.
“No one knows how to tell if AIs are trustworthy, and no one knows how to regulate superintelligent AI. Solving those problems looks like it’ll take years. Slowing down the intelligence explosion buys time to do so.
“It also helps prevent extreme concentrations of power, because it gives more time for groups that don’t directly control the world’s smartest AIs to wake up to what’s happening before they lose their leverage. Without a major slowdown, a rapid intelligence explosion will concentrate almost all the power into a tiny group of CEOs and politicians.”
***
In my view, this is a realistic picture of where we’ll be in four years, if AI is unchecked. The extremes are possible. We could well be living in a dictatorship here in the U.S., partly based on AI and partly due to Trump. We could easily be involved a worldwide war featuring drones and robot armies that can strike anywhere, anytime.
Unthinkable disasters will have to become thinkable.
So that means we have to think now and think hard. And that is what the AI Futures Project is doing for us. It gives us a way to think about this unthinkable problem.
So now it’s our turn. One easy option is to read the plan. Another is to skip the plan and just support the nonprofit doing this work. Or call your representative in the House of Representatives or the Senate and urge them to get to work on AI.
Of course there’s another option. Do nothing and just hope for divine intervention.
HEADLINES:
Trump Loses the Other Strait (Atlantic)
Iran’s Second Front (Foreign Affairs)
The Houthi advance in Yemen raises concerns about a key shipping choke point (ABC)
As Saudi tensions with Iran-backed Houthis escalate, mediator Pakistan faces pressure to choose a side (Reuters)
Iraq scrambles to address fallout from alleged militia attack on Saudi oil pipeline (CBC)
Saudi Arabia has few options as it faces mounting threats from Iran and its allies (AP)
Trump says united Ireland would be a ‘great thing’ on two-day visit to country (BBC)
Contractor Blames Its Own Repairs, Not Vandals, for Reflecting Pool Failure (NYT)
Trump Falls Asleep Onstage at September 11 Ceremony (TNR)
Mistakes, mistrust and misdirection: 25 years after 9/11, its dark legacy continues to unfold (Guardian)
Lutnick says Trump’s $5,000 checks for Americans wouldn’t rely on taxpayer funds (NBC)
U.S. inflation accelerated last month as gas prices spiked, squeezing Americans’ finances (PBS)
As diseases loom, CDC’s response to measles deaths stirs fears about agency’s reliability (NPR)
The G.O.P. ‘Midterm Convention’ Invited the Faithful to Binge-Watch Trump (NYT)
U.S. Postal Service Failed to Properly Handle Some Ballots During This Year’s Primary Elections, Audit Finds (ProPublica)
McClatchy Makes Deep Job Cuts to Newspapers Around the Country (NYT)
Bayer faces pivotal test of $7.25 billion Roundup settlement in Missouri court (Reuters)
El NiƱo will soon become the strongest one on record. Track its wide-reaching impacts. (WP)
The Truth About Brain Rot: It’s a Cry for Help (NYT)
How Meta tried, and failed, to grab its employees’ data for AI (BI)
The Original Sin of AI (Atlantic)
After outrunning Bolt, China’s robot champion races towards real-world work (Japan Times)
A.I. Could Possibly End Humanity. How Are Humans Supposed to Process That? (NYT)
I Let an AI Agent Hack All My Gadgets—and I’d Do It Again (Wired)
Here’s why it’s so hard to keep AI agents from going rogue (WP)
A.I. Boom Poses Growing Public Health Threat, Former E.P.A. Officials Warn (NYT)
MLB Attempts To Increase Fan Engagement By Providing Ball With Emotional Backstory (Onion)
