Tuesday, January 10, 2012

News From New Hampshire

Nothing too surprising, but early exit poll data indicates Romney winning with 36.8 percent, following by Paul at 26.3 percent, and Huntsman with 21.1 percent. Gingrich is fourth with 10.5 percent, and Perry is getting 5.3 percent. I'm not sure what happened to Santorum.

These figures are unlikely to prove an accurate breakdown of the actual vote totals once those are tallied tonight, because they appear to be based on only a one percent sampling so far.

But, as a rough snapshot of what the results will be, it's safe to assume that Romney has won, and that Huntsman may have lived to fight another day. Paul is not a serious candidate for the White House, so his support represents more about his constituency (Libertarians) than him as a potential nominee.

I suspect Paul would be better suited as a third-party candidate that could really articulate an agenda that differs radically from what even conservatives and Tea Partiers aspire to accomplish.

BTW, the final average of major polls anticipated pretty much the picture emerging from the exit polls. Here is how that spread turned out: Romney at 37.5 percent, Paul at 17.5 percent, Huntsman at 14.5 percent, Santorum at 11.5 percent, Gingrich at 10.3percent, and Perry at 1.0percent.

3 comments:

Anjuli said...

so far no great surprises.

On another note- do you think there is anything to the chirping about Obama changing VP's for his next run? Hillary Clinton?

David Weir said...

No chance, Anjuli. Incumbent Presidents do not change their tickets -- that would be an indication of weakness. Plus Hillary wants out of politics, by her own admission, and not a demotion from Secretary of State, where she has served with distinction.

Anjuli said...

Didn't FDR change his running mate? But what you said makes perfect sense- why would she want the VP office after she has done such a tremendous job as secretary of State-