Having covered so many Presidential campaigns, I'm reluctant to make a prediction a month out. But the video released today of Trump claiming in 2005 that he could essentially sexually assault women because he was a "star" is so sickening that I strongly suspect he will not win the election on November 8.
This conversation he was having with another man is not only disgusting, it is disqualifying. We'll see what happens over the next week, including at Sunday night's debate. The polls have stayed pretty close -- Clinton is probably up ~5 points nationally and leading in most of the contested states, the swing states.
I'll revisit whether I can make a projection by Monday or so.
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