The most recent spate of polls suggest that Joe Biden would lose to Donald Trump in most of the key swing states if the election were held today, but that those results would be reversed should Trump be convicted of a crime.
In that case, the polls suggest, Biden would win handily.
And it’s worth remembering that the election is exactly one year from today, the first Tuesday in November.
As the various wheels of justice grind on, Trump has made clear that if he should win re-election, he will carry out what in plain terms would be a coup, establishing himself as an authoritarian leader like Vladimir Putin and pardoning himself from all crimes.
That, in a nutshell is what is at stake in the 2024 election. Those who care about democracy better hope for a conviction.
How we have landed in this situation after nearly 250 years of democratic rule is a complex matter. The potential remedy is simply a case of the rule of law.
HEADLINES
Trump defiant at NY fraud trial, judge threatens to cut off testimony (Reuters)
On The Stand, Trump Admits To Adjusting Property Valuations (HuffPost)
Trump's attorneys in his civil fraud case double down on criticism of judge's clerk (ABC)
Donald Trump looks terrifyingly electable (Economist)
Trump Leads in 5 Critical States as Voters Blast Biden, Times/Siena Poll Finds (NYT)
Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis potent challengers to Biden in swing states, poll shows (Guardian)
Biden losing Arab-American voters in swing state (BBC)
As Gaza death toll soars, secrecy shrouds Israel’s targeting process (WP)
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) thinks it’s time for Israel to move on from Benjamin Netanyahu, saying the Israeli prime minister has proven incapable of handling the issue of Palestinian sovereignty. Meanwhile, Sanders called for an end to Israel's relentless bombing of Gaza, but noted that calling for a permanent cease-fire wouldn't be realistic. [HuffPost]
Israeli forces cut off north Gaza to isolate Hamas as Palestinian deaths surpass 10,000 (AP)
Israeli troops encircle Gaza City with civilians still inside (Today)
Vladimir Putin has decided to run in the March presidential election, as the Kremlin chief feels he must steer Russia through the most perilous period in decades, six sources told Reuters. Putin has already served as president for longer than any other Russian ruler since Josef Stalin. (Reuters)
The Inevitable Fall of Putin’s New Russian Empire (Foreign Policy)
Afghans fleeing Pakistan lack water, food and shelter once they cross the border, aid groups say (AP)
What the Golden Gate Is (Finally) Doing About Suicides (NYT)
‘Are you sitting down?’ The windfall that transformed NPR 20 years ago. (WP)
OpenAI introduces custom AI assistants called “GPTs” that play different roles (Ars Technica)
Chatbots May ‘Hallucinate’ More Often Than Many Realize (NYT)
AI and the Erosion of Human Cognition (Psychology Today)
Concerning New Study Finds Nation’s Poverty Growing Faster Than Officials Can Build Prisons (The Onion)
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