So it is Obama v Romney. The African-American moderate against the Morman moderate.
Great. Good luck with that, all of you who favor extremes. I will eventually do the math to figure out the odds on this one, and when I do you can bank on the results, but frankly it hardly seems to matter.
Whoever wins the most electoral votes will be the next President. That does not track with what various pockets of Americans care about, especially not extremists.
If you think we need a smaller government or a withdrawal from world conflicts, your wishes will not be granted. So long, Ron Paul.
If you hew to a Christian conservative vision of what the America you wish would be like, you can forget that as well. Adios, Rick Santorum.
If you are on the left, and hope Obama will enact your preferred policies, think again.
My overall sense at this point is that Obama will defeat Romney, by a relatively small margin, just as Junior Bush won re-election in 2004. The math usually favors the incumbent, and this time around the GOP has chosen an exceptionally weak candidate.
But I could be wrong. Should the Obama camp chose to mount a much more aggressive campaign this year, based on his strengths (killing bin-Laden, defeating the conspiracy freak "Birthers," enacting the beginnings of a national health-care system, saving the auto industry, stimulating an economic recovery, and just today boosting startups) he will be locked in for a huge victory next November.
In politics, love and sports, it is always and only about projecting a sense of confidence.
Then the rewards always follow. In that case, we should expect President Obama, in the first two years of his second term to do some very special things. After all, this will be his chance to make history.
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