Election Update

Polls indicate that 42 percent of the public identify as independent. Only 29 percent identify as Democrat and 26 percent Republican.

Nate Silver's 538 says Hillary Clinton has a 68.5 percent chance of winning the election. Personally, I believe the race is tightening at this point.

But the Democrats maintain an electoral advantage that is significant even if the popular vote is essentially split by the major parties, with perhaps 8-10 percent going to the Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson.

538 predicts Clinton will win the electoral college, 307-231.

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