Thursday, November 16, 2023

China.2

 Joe Biden’s diplomatic breakthrough with China may prove to be one of the pivotal moments of his presidency. 

He achieved agreements on fentanyl, AI, military-to-military communication and a personal channel with China’s leader Xi Jinping, among other things.

But at his press conference to celebrate it, most of the questions were about the war in Gaza. Understandably.

Over the long term, however, the China deal was primary. The sheer dominance of the two countries on the global economy is breath-taking.

As measured by national GDP, the U.S. economy is roughly $27 trillion; China’s not quite $18 trillion. No other national economy is larger than $4.5 trillion.

But at two-thirds the size of the U.S., China has been slipping backward, partly due to the disruptions of Covid-19 and global supply chains. Not long ago its economy was three-quarters the size of the U.S. and it is increasingly desperate to reverse this trend.

Thus, Biden picked the right moment, from a U.S. perspective, to get a deal made. And the global economy will be better off for it.

I know it is second fiddle in the news cycle for most, but unlike the war in Gaza, this one should prove to be a big “W” for Biden. Even if he did slip up and answer on off-mic question, “Is Xi a dictator?” with a “Yes.”

HEADLINES:

No comments: