Thursday, November 17, 2022

On the Run

Multiple analyses are out on Trump’s decision to launch another presidential run despite his failures in the last three election cycles, and most of them focus on the real estate swindler’s legal problems.

Trump faces pointed inquiries from at least five separate jurisdictions, any one of which could take him down. I am not a gambler but if I were, I’d take the odds he will be indicted for one or more criminal offenses long before the 2024 election season begins.

Political insiders at the Post and Politico believe that in fact the main reason Trump announced he is running was to try and take the offensive on his legal front — not actually to try and regain the White House.

Declaring that he is a candidate allows him to claim that any indictments are politically motivated attempts to blunt his candidacy. 

The truth is that prosecutors have been trying to avoid the politics of any of these multiple legal inquiries. Trump allegedly broke so many laws in so many ways that the overwhelming likelihood is that he will end up as a convicted multiple felon by the time all of this plays out.

But until then we will will all be forced to endure the spectacle of this low-life cheater, lair and would-be dictator strutting around, mouthing his racist slurs, embracing the worst extremist elements of American society, and stirring the anxieties of millions of people who fear their way of life is endangered by the inevitable demographic and economic forces reshaping America.

NEWSLINKS:

  • Editorial: Trump doesn’t want your vote in 2024. Just your obedience while he trashes the U.S. again (LAT)

  • Trump’s Running and the Feds Are Coming: What the Next Two Years Will Look Like Legally (Politico)

  • Trump is out for vengeance — and to protect himself from prosecution (WP)

  • Trump offers a dark vision voters have already rejected as he launches his 2024 campaign (CNN)

  • Many Republican Lawmakers Are Wary of New Trump Presidential Bid (WSJ)

  • Factions of the GOP wrangle for power and influence (PBS)

  • Why DeSantis Is A Major Threat To Trump’s Reelection (538)

  • Top Republicans Face Dissent as McCarthy Wins G.O.P. Nod for Speaker (NYT)

  • A judge overturned Georgia’s ban on abortion starting around six weeks into pregnancy, ruling it violated the U.S. Constitution and Supreme Court precedent when it was enacted. The lawsuit was filed by doctors and advocacy groups in July. [AP]

  • Same-sex marriage bill picks up more Senate GOP support (Politico)

  • In a stunning reversal, the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints announced that it supports congressional efforts to codify protections for same-sex marriage. While the church still views marriage within its religion as solely between a man and a woman, it has no objection to safeguarding LGBTQ unions for the general public through the Respect for Marriage Act. [HuffPost]

  • Election deniers’ doubts about voting made for compelling conspiracy theories, but proved to be a bad get-out-the-vote strategy. (NYT)

  • With Democrats on the cusp of losing the House, all eyes are on Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s next move, and the party is frozen in place until she decides what to do. (Cal Today)

  • Biden said it was “unlikely” that a missile that killed two in NATO-ally Poland was fired from Russia, and pledged support for Poland’s investigation into what it had called a "Russian-made" missile. U.S. officials said the missile was probably fired by Ukraine forces at an incoming Russian salvo against Ukraine's electrical infrastructure. [AP]

  • A missile that hit Poland killing two people was probably a Ukrainian air defense missile and there was no evidence to suggest the incident was an intentional attack by Russia, Poland's President Andrzej Duda said. The announcement, which followed similar suggestions by the United States, was likely to ease global concern that the war in Ukraine could spill across the border. (Reuters)

  • NATO says Russia is ultimately to blame for Poland missile hit (CNBC)

  • Russian spying in Europe dealt ‘significant blow’ since Ukraine war, MI5 chief says (CNN)

  • Iranian police open fire at Tehran metro station and beat women on train (Guardian)

  • As climate change progresses, trees in cities struggle (AP)

  • Defeated Man Too Tired To Fight New $14.99 Fee On Phone Bill (The Onion)

 

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