The political blogs I watch are alive with speculation and some purported early exit poll results from today's Presidential primary caucuses in Iowa. A little over an hour from now, the first results may become public.
As usual on election days, I've been sifting data, for the heck of it, and now have my predictions set:
Obama will win narrowly for the Democrats. Edwards and Clinton in a virtual tie for second. No one else registers enough to be taken seriously.
Huckabee will win for Republicans. Romney takes the hit. Paul almost beats him.
Neither of these outcomes will be as important for the next stage of the campaigns as the winners may hope, or the losers may fear. New Hampshire is up next, where different winners are expected. A month from now, a large number of state primaries will clarify the electoral picture. Clinton still seems to be ahead nationally; but Romney may be fading for the GOP. Huckabee is unlikely so Giulani and McCain, neither of which have mounted credible campaigns yet, may duke it out.
All predictions subject to revision!
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