Friday, September 16, 2016

Election Analysis

Hillary Clinton no longer clearly leads Donald Trump either in the popular vote or via the electoral map. The political landscape is changing and anyone analyzing it has to admit that Trump has been peaking lately.

Now the question is whether Clinton and the Democrats can regain the momentum. There still are almost two months left before the race gets decided.

If the present trend continues, Trump could well win. But I would venture a guess that the present trend will not continue.

That's because I think most of the tightening in the polls lately is a result of natural trends in an election year when no incumbent is running. The election may be up for grabs, but the electoral map continues to favor the Democrats.

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