From Taqueria Cancun with Dylan today, catching up. Talked to Julia, who was working on her essay, and by phone with Aidan about his classes, car, Zaira, and their cat, Mika.
Otherwise a quiet Sunday, watching more politics coverage and waiting to watch a Michigan basketball game.
Donald Trump is actually the biggest joke in American politics in a long time, maybe all time. I watch his speeches -- they are filled with provocations, baseless claims, and petty personal attacks. He is a sure loser, now I think about it, and will never be president.
Either the Republican Party will run someone against him or he will run as an independent. Either way, Hillary Clinton, assuming she is the Democratic nominee, will be the next president.
So what we are witnessing is the dissolution of the GOP as a serious political party. Don't be deceived by Trump's "big" crowds. Getting people to a rally to witness a spectacle is not the same as winning electoral votes.
Right now I rate the candidates' chances to win the White House in Novemebr as follows:
Clinton 60%
Sanders 20%
Rubio 10%
Cruz 5%
Carson 4%
Trump 1%
That is the Democrats at 80% and the Republicans at 20%.
I also predict a Clinton-Sanders ticket and a Rubio-Cruz ticket. But Super Tuesday primaries loom, after which, if is not staggering, Trump may have too many delegates to be stopped. In that case, it is probably a Trump-Christie ticket.
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