Thursday, January 31, 2008

The Nice Debate



After the nastiness of recent weeks, the two leading Democratic candidates were civil beyond belief tonight before an audience of adoring movie stars and their cohorts in L.A.



Clinton probably "won" the debate; she was calm and cool and articulate, i.e., at her very best. But Obama may have accomplished even more by appearing so dignified, although he did not speak as eloquently as he is capable of...



But perhaps the main accomplishment at tonight's event was the feel-good sense Democrats could take away that either candidate would be a major upgrade from the current resident of the White House.

I've sorted through additional poll data today and everything points to a close outcome in the 22 contests next Super Tuesday. It's safe to say that neither candidate will win all the races. The most significant developing story line, given Clinton's superior organization in many states and her strong lead in most polls, is how fast Obama appears to be rising.

One well-known political figure, Dick Morris, claims tonight that Obama has pulled even with Clinton, nationally. The consensus of other polls does not yet support that allegation, and I personally doubt it.

But, as I have predicted, ask me in four days. By then, this may in fact be a dead heat...

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