I've been studying the polls, and in the past five days, look at what has happened nationally in the Clinton-Obama race:
Gallup Poll daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 1,200 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
Preference for Democratic Nominee:
Clinton Obama
1/24 47% 31%
1/29 42% 36%
This is, by any measure, a significant change, one full percent per day. With five more days to go until Super Tuesday, if this trend continues, the two leading Democrats will be in a dead heat, or Obama could actually lead! The biggest unknown in this equation is how will the Edwards supporters break now he has exited the race, without endorsing either leading candidate.
Stay tuned. This is a volatile race that may well be decided in the next few days.
-30-
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