Rasmussen Markets data now gives Obama a 58.2% chance of winning the nomination while expectations for Clinton are at 41.5%. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.
The two candidates square off in two caucuses and a primary (Louisiana) today, and Obama appears poised to win all three, as well as the Maryland and Virginia primaries next Tuesday. If he indeed wins all five, his lead in both states won and delegates over Clinton could become a notable factor.
Obama also is attracting millions of new dollars in support, while Clinton has been forced to loan her campaign money. By the end of this month, Obama's momentum may begin to sway the super-delegates who are not tied to voting for any one candidate. The prospect of a brokered convention has party leaders worries, but of course it has reporters excited.
We'll continue our selected coverage as the numerical patterns reveal themselves. There's little point in covering the GOP contests any longer: McCain's lead over Huckabee is insurmountable, making the Arizona Senator now the presumptive nominee.
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